Understanding
behavioral economics can help
investors stay the course
Behavioral economics is a relatively new field that
resonates in the current economic climate. Researchers
studying behavioral finance seek to identify emotions
that can be detrimental to investors' long-term
investment goals. For example, the panic or euphoria
that accompanied recent market fluctuations may have
made it difficult to stick to an investment plan.
Understanding what drives investment behavior can help
investors fight emotional urges and stay rational in
difficult conditions.
There's an obvious benefit to uncovering the
rationale behind investors' choices. You don't have to
look farther than a best-seller list to surmise that
behavioral finance has become a popular field of
study. From veteran finance columnist Jason Zweig's Your
Money & Your Brain: How the Science of
Neuroeconomics Can Make You Rich, a study of the
convergence of neuroscience, economics and psychology,
to the hit Freakonomics by Stephen Dubner and
Steven Levitt (more than 3 million copies sold and
translated into 30 languages), people find that
finance and psychology are interesting companions.
Understanding the principles of behavioral
finance can help you take the emotion out of
investing and ensure you follow your long-term
investment plan. Some strategies.
- Avoid the "all or nothing"
mentality. During extreme market
volatility, it may be unsettling to do nothing. It
may help you feel you're taking control of the
situation to sell a small amount of equities, but
you won't have acted irrationally.
- Stay away from information overload.
Many 24-hour financial news networks feed on bad
news. These shows are often trying to attract
audiences by playing on one's emotions.
- Be clear about whether you're investing
or trading. Don't apply the behavior of a
trader to your investment portfolio. That's a
ticket to an emotional roller coaster.
- Apply the 24-hour rule.
Emotions can be the greatest enemy of the stock
market investor. If you're tempted to make a rash
decision to buy or sell, wait 24 hours. Give
yourself time to settle down and see the bigger
picture. Revisiting the issue a full day later may
help you gain a calmer perspective.
Key to Behavioral Economics Terms
Why do investors act the way they do? Here's
a sampling of behavioral finance principles:
Anchoring: Basing investing
decisions on irrelevant statistics and figures rather
than evaluating a stock based on the big picture.
Confirmation Bias: Looking for
information that supports an investment decision
rather than looking for both the pros and cons of an
investment. Investors with this tendency are more
likely to simply ignore contradictory information.
Gambler's Fallacy: Not
understanding the laws of probability: just because 20
flipped coins land "heads" does not increase
the likelihood of the 21st coin landing
"tails." Similarly, a stock that has been
going up does not mean it's more likely to go down.
Herd Behavior: Constantly buying
and selling investments to follow the latest
investment trend since "everyone else" is
doing it.
Hindsight Bias: Thinking that an
unpredictable event was, in hindsight, obvious. This
bias can lead to another dangerous emotion:
overconfidence.